Golf

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds

Surprising PGA picks, predictions from golf model that's nailed 8 majors

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Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas has been a fixture on the PGA Tour since 1946, and a week after the conclusion of the second major championship of the season, the best players in the world will return for the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge. Will Zalatoris lost in a playoff at Southern Hills in the 2022 PGA Championship and now the Dallas native will return home to another Perry Maxwell design. Zalatoris was bested by Justin Thomas for his second major championship and Thomas is expected to be back in action at Colonial this week.

Coming off his major championship win, Thomas is listed at 12-1 in the latest 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, while Zalatoris is getting 20-1. Scottie Scheffler is still the No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Ranking and he’s listed as the 10-1 favorite in this week’s PGA odds despite missing the cut last week in Oklahoma. Before making any 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven golf model.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it’s up over $9,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model included Justin Thomas in its best bets to win the 2022 PGA Championship. That bet hit at +1600, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $800. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.

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This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge (see tickets at StubHub) is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge predictions

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Charles Schwab Challenge 2022: Scheffler, the world’s No. 1 player and the tournament favorite, stumbles and fails to win. Scheffler has four wins this season, which is twice as many as any other golfer and he’s also the No. 1 player in FedEx Cup rankings. But he’s coming off a missed cut at the PGA Championship which ended a streak of seven straight top-25 finishes at major tournaments.

Scheffler grew up in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and says he loves the Colonial Country Club, but that adoration hasn’t translated into success when playing it. He’s competed at this tournament each of the last two years, missing the cut in 2021 and finishing 55th in 2020. Also, Perry Maxwell, who designed the Colonial Country Club, also designed Southern Hills Country Club which just hosted the PGA Championship and saw Scheffler miss the cut there. Despite his world ranking and dominant tour season, the model sees there being far better options than Scheffler for 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge bets.

Another surprise: Sam Burns, a 25-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 25-year-old Louisiana native was a star at LSU before turning professional in 2017 and he earned his PGA Tour card for the first time for the 2018-19 season. Burns had five top-10 finishes during his first two seasons but something clicked in the middle of 2021 and he’s ascended the OWGR quickly since.

Burns has collected three PGA Tour victories in the last 13 months and has had eight other top-10 finishes since the start of 2021. He’s now the No. 10 player in the world and he’s third in the FedEx Cup standings for the 2021-22 PGA Tour season. Burns is currently top 25 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: on approach (0.678) and strokes gained: putting (0.439) and that’s a recipe for success at Colonial Country Club.

 

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, field

Scottie Scheffler 10-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Jordan Spieth 14-1
Collin Morikawa 16-1
Viktor Hovland 18-1
Will Zalatoris 20-1
Max Homa 25-1
Sam Burns 25-1
Abraham Ancer 30-1
Tommy Fleetwood 30-1
Daniel Berger 35-1
Tony Finau 35-1
Sungjae Im 35-1
Davis Riley 40-1
Jason Kokrak 40-1
Talor Gooch 40-1
Billy Horschel 40-1
Gary Woodland 45-1
Mito Pereira 45-1
Webb Simpson 45-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Kevin Na 50-1
Harold Varner 50-1
Chris Kirk 50-1
Bryson DeChambeau 50-1
Maverick McNealy 50-1
Sebastian Munoz 50-1
Brian Harman 55-1
Tom Hoge 55-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 65-1
Cameron Tringale 65-1
Patrick Reed 65-1
Rickie Fowler 65-1
C.T. Pan 70-1
Ryan Palmer 70-1
Sepp Straka 80-1
Cam Davis 80-1
Erik Van Rooyen 80-1
Kevin Kisner 80-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 80-1
Adam Long 90-1
Troy Merritt 90-1
Joel Dahmen 90-1
Russell Knox 90-1
Doug Ghim 90-1
Patton Kizzire 100-1
Ian Poulter 100-1
Denny McCarthy 100-1
Sahith Theegala 100-1
Matt Jones 100-1
David Lipsky 100-1
Kevin Streelman 100-1
Stewart Cink 100-1
Aaron Rai 100-1
Lucas Herbert 100-1
Matthew NeSmith 100-1
J.T. Poston 125-1
Brendon Todd 125-1
Lucas Glover 125-1
Charl Schwartzel 125-1
James Hahn 125-1
J.J. Spaun 125-1
Kurt Kitayama 125-1
Brandon Wu 125-1
Nate Lashley 125-1
Dylan Frittelli 125-1
Peter Malnati 150-1
Patrick Rodgers 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 150-1
Alex Smalley 150-1
Stephan Jaeger 150-1
Rory Sabbatini 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Matthias Schwab 150-1
Carlos Ortiz 150-1
Chez Reavie 150-1
Austin Smotherman 150-1
Nick Taylor 150-1
Taylor Moore 150-1
Min Woo Lee 150-1
Mark Hubbard 150-1
Richard Bland 150-1
Scott Stallings 150-1
Adam Svensson 200-1
Danny Lee 200-1
Garrick Higgo 200-1
Wyndham Clark 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Chad Ramey 200-1
Doc Redman 225-1
Zach Johnson 250-1
Michael Thompson 250-1
Kramer Hickok 250-1
Andrew Putnam 250-1
Brian Stuard 250-1
Adam Schenk 250-1
Vince Whaley 250-1
Brandt Snedeker 250-1
Charley Hoffman 250-1
Luke Donald 250-1
Sam Ryder 250-1
Robert Streb 300-1
Harry Higgs 300-1
Hayden Buckley 300-1
Lee Hodges 300-1
Tyler Duncan 300-1
Paul Barjon 300-1
Trey Mullinax 300-1
Ryan Brehm 400-1
Camilo Villegas 400-1
Kevin Tway 400-1
Martin Trainer 500-1
Bill Haas 500-1
Ty Strafaci 500-1
Nick Watney 500-1
Max McGreevy 500-1
James Piot 500-1
John Pak 500-1
Erik Compton 500-1

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